European Market Update

Better major European PMI Services data continues to aid risk appetite; US non-farm payroll data in focus for any additional momentum

Economic Data

(EU) ECB: €1.5B borrowed in overnight loan facility v €2.0B prior; €488.7B parked in deposit facility vs. €486.4B prior

(RU) Russia Narrow Money Supply Narrow w/e Jan 30th (RUB): T vs. 6.80T prior

(RU) Russia Central Bank (CBR) leaves the Refinancing Rate unchanged at 8.00%; As expected

(IE) Ireland Jan NCB Services PMI: 48.3 v 48.4 prior

(CH) Swiss Q4 UBS Real Estate Bubble Index: +0.80 v +0.58 prior

(CZ) Czech Dec Retail Sales Y/Y: 1.6% v 0.5%e

(TR) Turkey Jan Consumer Prices M/M: 0.6% v 0.5%e; Y/Y: 10.6% v 10.6%e; CPI Core Index Y/Y: 8.4% v 8.1%e

(TR) Turkey Jan Producer Prices M/M: 0.4% v 0.8%e; Y/Y: 11.1% v 13.3% prior

(ES) Spain Jan Services PMI: 46.1 v 42.1 prior (7th month of sub 50 reading but best level since July 2011)

(IT) Italy Jan PMI Services: 44.8 v 45.4e

(FR) France Jan Final PMI Services: 52.3 v 51.7e (highest reading since Aug 2011)

(DE) Germany Jan Final PMI Services: 53.7 v 54.5e, highest level since June 2011

(EU) Euro Zone Jan Final PMI Service: 50.4 v 50.5e; PMI Composite: 50.4 v 50.4e

(IC) Iceland Jan Preliminary Trade Balance (ISK): 12.0BB v 6.9B prior

(UK) Jan PMI Services: 56.0 v 53.3e

(EU) Euro Zone Dec Retail Sales M/M: -0.4% v +0.3%e; Y/Y: -1.6% v -1.3%e

(IT) Italy Jan Preliminary CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) M/M: 0.3% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: 3.2% v 3.2%e

(IT) Italy Jan Preliminary CPI EU Harmonized M/M: -1.8% v -1.7%e; Y/Y: 3.4% v 3.6%e

Fixed Income:

(IN) India sold total INR130B vs. INR130B indicated in 2018, 2021 and 2041 bonds

(ZA) South Africa sold total ZAR800M in I/L 2017, 2028 and 2033 Bonds

SPEAKERS/FIXED INCOME/FX/COMMODITIES/ERRATUM

Notes/Observations

European peripheral yields improve hut region still encountering 'economic pain'

Greek PSI discussions in 'final, final stage'

US non-farm payroll data the highlight of NY morning

Equities:

FTSE 100 +0.50% at 5825, DAX +0.40% at 6681, CAC-40 +0.50% at 3391, FTSE MIB +0.30% at 16,327, SMI +0.50% at 6095

European shares rose ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls data due out during the NY morning. While macroeconomic data from both sides of the Atlantic have been strong, further stalling of the Greek PSI deal talks may push the market lower.