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Gross Domestic Product

By:   Crown Forex
  • 28-08-2008
0
votes
 

Previous       1.9%
Forecast      2.7%

Definition     

The total market value of all goods and services produced within the political boundaries of an economy during a given period of time, were usually it's calculated on an annual basis.  The GDP is usually looked at as the official measure to the health of an economy as it reflects the nation's productivity. GDP is divided among personal consumption, investment, net exports, and governmental spending as follows:

GDP = C + G + I + NX

where:

"C" refers  to all private consumption, or consumer spending, in a nation's economy; this includes most personal expenditures of households such as food, rent, medical expenses and so on but does not include new housing.
"G" refers to the sum of government spending; from salaries to the public sector to military purchases expenditure; the measure does not include transfer payments such as social security or unemployment benefits.
"I" refers to the sum of all the country's businesses investment in capital; spending by households on new houses for example is also included in Investment. 'Investment' in GDP is specifically identified as non-financial product purchases.
"NX" refers to the nation's total net exports of goods and services minus total imports, since they are already included in C, I, or G thereby should be deducted to not count foreign supply as domestic (NX = Exports - Imports)

Commonly data are complied and released on a quarterly basis coming out in the month after a quarter has ended, usually reported in "real" terms, which is economic growth minus the effect of inflation. The reading is released throughout the course of the quarter revised at least two times until the final reading; the sequel starts with the Advanced Estimate, then the Preliminary Reading, and then the Final Reading. Some countries report their GDP reading in annualized term like the United States, which is what the annual change would be if the quarter's pace of growth or contraction continued for a year.

General Effect     

The GDP is considered a very important indicator that moves the currency markets hectically for the value of such a reading.  The reading is merely a reflection of a certain economy's performance in a specified period of time; therefore any improvement reflects the wellbeing of the economy in all its considered aspects. Consequently, a revitalized economy is reflected positively on the currency providing strength and demand on that currency.

The GDP reflects the markets' cycle that is starting by the consumer with increased income and high confidence in the economy would likely rise the level of spending therefore production levels increase more employment resulting in  the  availability for more cash to spend empowering the cycle of production, which in result ends by empowering the currency.

The effect as mentioned is positive on the currency and direct; as for the equity markets the effect is towards the upside as well for the unbreakable tie that links any economy to the equity market, if there is growth there is defiantly an increase in the equity as well for it is a reflection of the output of that economy. Therefore any increase in the GDP affects positively the currency as well as the equity market and the opposite of this is as well applicable.


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Crown Forex
CROWN FOREX SA, located at St-Hubert 38, 2854 Bassecourt, P.o.box 247, Switzerland, is fully regulated as a financial intermediary under Swiss federal law on the prevention of money laundering (LBA, MLA). Our company is also affiliated with the ARIF association, thus overseen by the Swiss federal de

DISCLAIMER:

The above may contain information for investors/traders and is not a recommendation to buy or sell currencies, gold, silver & energies, nor an offer to buy or sell currencies, gold, silver & energies. The information provided is obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness.  I am not liable for any losses or damages, monetary or otherwise that result.  I recommend that anyone trading currencies, gold, silver &energies should do so with caution and consult with a broker before doing so.  Prior performance may not be indicative of future performance. Currencies, gold, silver &energies  presented should be considered speculative with a high degree of volatility and risk



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