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Strong speculations will move the dollar up to 1.4950 soon

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13-12-2007

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EUR/USD (1.4714)

European & US sessions forecast levels: 1.4640/1.4750

Trend Sessions: European – Neutral/Downward

US – Neutral/Upward

Market Focus: 8:30 AM Retail Sales, Retail Sales ex-auto, PPI, Core PPI, Initial Claims, 10:00 AM Business Inventories, 2:45 AM French CPI, French Non-farm Employment, 4:00 AM ECB Monthly Bulletin, 5:00 AM Labor Cost Index.

Daily Strategy: The dollar is under pressure in spite the positive Fed action with 25 bps interest rates cut. The speculations just after the Fed decision is for expectations for new interest rates cut in January 2008. The European economy start to signal problems but the speculations will move against the fundamental data and the dollar will test 1.4950 in very short time. Again the speculations will move the market not the fundamental data.

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