US Session 15/11/2007

A) CALENDAR

-GMT 13:30 USA CPI (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.3% PREVIOUS 0.3%
-GMT 13:30 USA CPI (y/y), (Oct) EST 3.5% PREVIOUS 2.8%
Definition
The consumer price index (CPI) gauges the average change in retail prices for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPI data is compiled from a sample of prices for food, shelter, clothing, fuel, transportation and medical services that people purchase on daily basis.

-GMT 13:30 USA CPI Core (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS 0.2%
-GMT 13:30 USA CPI Core (y/y), (Oct) EST 2.2% PREVIOUS 2.1%
Definition
This indicator is a derivative of the CPI that excludes the volatile Food and Energy items.

-GMT 13:30 USA Initial claims EST 320k PREVIOUS 317k
Definition
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.

-GMT 13:30 USA Empire Manufacturing (Nov) EST 19.5 PREVIOUS 28.8
Definition
The New York Fed conducts this monthly survey of manufacturers in New York State. Participants from across the state represent a variety of industries. On the first of each month, the same pool of roughly 175 manufacturing executives (usually the CEO or the president) is sent a questionnaire to report the change in an assortment of indicators from the previous month. Respondents also give their views about the likely direction of these same indicators six months ahead. This index is seasonally
adjusted using the Philadelphia Fed\'s seasonal factors because its own history is not long enough with data only going back a couple of years.

-GMT 17:00 USA Philly Fed Survey (Nov) EST 5.0 PREVIOUS 6.8
Definition
A composite diffusion index of manufacturing conditions within the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district. This survey is widely followed as an indicator of manufacturing sector trends since it is correlated with the NAPM survey and the index of industrial production.


B) SUPPORT-RESISTANCE
EURO/USD   USD/JPY   GBP/USD
R3 1.4715      111.70        2.0620
R2 1.4675      111.30        2.0565
R1 1.4655      110.80        2.0495
S1 1.4590      110.30        2.0420
S2 1.4560      109.80        2.0400
S3 1.4530      109.30        2.0355

C) WATCH
-Interest Rates
-GMT 13:30 USA CPI
-GMT 13:30 USA CPI Core
-GMT 13:30 USA Empire Manufacturing
-GMT 17:00 USA Philly Fed Survey

D) TRADING TIPS
CANDLESTICKS REVERSAL PATTERNS
Evening Star: The Evening Star is a bearish reversal candle pattern, as its name suggests. The first day of this pattern is a long white candlestick which fully enforces the current uptrend. On the open of the second day, prices gap up above the body of the first day. Trading on this second day is somewhat restricted and the close price is near the open price while remaining above the body of the first day. The body for the second day is small. This type of day following a long day is referred to as a Star pattern. A Star is a small body day that gaps away from a long body day. The third and last day of this pattern opens with a gap below the body of the star and closes lower with the close price below the midpoint of the first day.