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USD CHF Show Strength on Breakout over 1.0541; Could Reach 1.0625 - 1.0630 Today
By: James Hyerczyk - 05-08-2008
0votesOvernight, the USD CHF broke out over a pair of Main Tops at 1.0523 and 1.0548. This action has this pair in a position to continue up to the next Main Top at 1.0601. The stronger overnight equities market is helping this market develop its bullishness.
The key to igniting a rally in this pair will be a bullish stock move. If a stock market up move develops, traders may gain enough confidence in the move to aggressively borrow Swiss Francs to finance the purchase of equities. The objective of any strong rally is 1.0625 to 1.0630. Trading has been so tight lately that there may be enough money on the sidelines to drive this market to this objective today.
PATTERN
Main Trend: Up
Main Trend Top: 1.0541 (06-13-08)
Main Trend Bottom: 1.0010 (07-15-08)
PRICE
1.0630 50% Retracement
1.0625 Main Trend Top (05-08-08)
1.0601 Main Trend Top (05-14-08)
1.0548 Overnight High
1.0481 New York Close
1.0359 Overnight Low
1.0310 Gann Angle Up
1.0267 50% Retracement
1.0206 .618 Retracement
TIME
Aug 8 90-Day Cycle
Aug 13 180-Day Cycle
Attached Images
Next Analysis: USD CAD Hits New High for the Year; 1.0465 is the Next TargetContent Provided by:
James Hyerczyk
James A. Hyerczyk is a registered Commodity Trading Advisor with the National Futures Association.
Mr. Hyerczyk has been actively involved in the futures markets since 1982. He has worked in various capacities within the futures industry from technical analyst to commodity trading advisor.
DISCLAIMER:
Forex (off-exchange foreign currency futures and options or FX) trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The value of currencies may fluctuate and investors may lose all or more than their original investments. Risks also include, but are not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price and/or liquidity of a currency. The impact of seasonal and geopolitical events is already factored into market prices. Prices in the underlying cash or physical markets do not necessarily move in tandem with futures and options prices. The leveraged nature of FX trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds and such may work against you as well as for you. In no event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express or implied promise or guarantee from James A. Hyerczyk and J.A.H. Research and Trading or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Loss-limiting strategies such as stop loss orders may not be effective because market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Likewise, strategies using combinations of positions such as "spread" or "straddle" trades may be just as risky as simple long and short positions. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information contained in this correspondence is intended for informational purposes only and was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.
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