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May 21, 2012 04:24AM GMT
     
 
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World Markets Weekend Review: The Rally Picks Up Steam

By   |  Market Overview  |  Feb 04, 2012 03:44PM GMT  |  Add a Comment
 
The 2012 rally picked up steam last week with the average gain of our basket of eight markets approximately doubling the average of the previous week. Europe was home to the best gains. The DAXK (i.e., the DAX ex dividends) was the week's top performer, followed by the CAC 40 and FTSE 100. The S&P 500's 2.17% gain earned fourth place. The Asia Pacific markets populated the bottom half with the Nikkei 225 as the only index with a negative weekly close, and a tiny one at that.
The adjacent table shows the 2012 year-to-date performance of our gang of eight. Three markets have achieved double-digit gains in brief space of 5 weeks. The DAXK has overtaken the BSE SENSEX for the lead with the Hang Seng not far behind in third place. The other five markets have healthy single-digit gains. Even the last place Nikkei 225 has averaged nearly a one-percent gain per week.

A Closer Look at the Last Four Weeks

The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. I've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.
The chart below illustrates the comparative performance of World Markets since March 9, 2009. The start date is arbitrary: The S&P 500, CAC 40 and BSE SENSEX hit their lows on March 9th, the Nikkei 225 on March 10th, the DAX on March 6th, the FTSE on March 3rd, the Shanghai Composite on November 4, 2008, and the Hang Seng even earlier on October 27, 2008. However, by aligning on the same day and measuring the percent change, we get a better sense of the relative performance than if we align the lows.
Chart - 3
 Chart - 3
A Longer Look Back

Here is the same chart starting from the turn of 21st century. The relative over-performance of the emerging markets (Shanghai, Mumbai, Hang Seng) is readily apparent.
Chart - 4
 Chart - 4
 Check back next weekend for a new update.

Note from dshort: At the suggestion of Joerg Willig, a finance professional in Germany, I replaced the DAX index, which includes dividends, with the price-only DAXK. This change levels the playing field, so to speak, for our international comparisons.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data .

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

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