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Technical Analysis Discuss the merits and downfalls of using technical data methods to assist trading

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Old 06-18-2008, 11:02 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Exotic Carry Trade - Bullish Looking Lira

The Turkish Lira (TRY), offers the highest interest rate in the industrial world (16.25%) while borrowing the USD will only cost you 2.00%. Selling USD/TRY will yield you the hefty interest rate differential of 14.25%. And that's without using any leverage.

Technically we are starting to have a decent case for selling USD/TRY. On the daily chart, the 50 and 200 period moving averages look poised to cross over, we have a bearish MACD crossover, and the uptrendline marked in green on the chart has been violated and should provide some resistance to the upside.



Analysis By TradersLog.com
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