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Categories: Market Analysis - Fundamental - Technical - Futures - Central Banks   | 2006 - 2007 - 2008
 
On 07-10-2008
The USD is pounding every currency except the JPY
Markets around the world are having a very rough session today, the DOW is -5%, NASDAQ -6%, IPC -8% and BOVESPA has already been closed after reaching -14% before 10:00 AM. Regarding the currencies... Read More

On 23-09-2008
US government Coming to rescue the economy, but what about the USD?
At the end of last week, the US treasury and Central Bank announced the plan to rescue banks from their infected mortgage loans. This is focused on saving more banks from going into bankruptcy and ... Read More

On 15-09-2008
ASIAN MARKETS CLOSED MONDAY
As some analists predicted, Lehman was left alone to dry in the sun… as only 1 out of the top 3 financial institutions in USA is left standing… “will its brick wall help it get ... Read More

On 08-09-2008
Wide movements as volatility comes back to the market
As the FED intervened to help Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae from causing further bumps in the road for the housing market, the USD was expected to weaken and it did on the opening session of the week.... Read More

On 01-09-2008
ECB and BOE take center stage
The USD has been holding to its current strength as we continue to see price action below 1.4700. Market players are beginning to see 1.4500 closer than 1.5500. We believe that currencies are begin... Read More

On 24-08-2008
Fundamentals continue to be the main determinant on trend setting
EUR/USD managed to remain below 1.4800 and it now remains on the range between 1.4600-1.5100. This week we get a load of releases that will clear up the view and allow us to look beyond the current... Read More

On 20-08-2008
Fundamentals will determine the new range
Last week we saw a very strong move by the USD, followed by a confirmation that the trading range had changed, and it seemed that we are Trending (moving towards a certain point without stopping). ... Read More

On 18-08-2008
Fundamentals will determine the new range, we do not believe we will continue Trending.. we believe we will have a Range at 1.46-1.52
Last week we saw a very strong move by the USD, followed by a confirmation that the trading range had changed, and it seemed that we are Trending (moving towards a certain point without stopping). ... Read More

On 11-08-2008
Fundamentals remain unchanged
Last week we got the same deal we’ve gotten over the past few months; the US is performing bad and getting worse as time goes by. However we got a spectacular couple of days for the USD as it... Read More

On 04-08-2008
Central Bancs take the Stage
2008 has been a year where rate differentials and rate decisions have influenced strong movements in price action. These week won’t be different if we see any movement by either Central Bank.... Read More

On 27-07-2008
Releases could create a rollercoaster week
We’re back over 1.5750, and continue to be in a tight range between 1.5650 and 1.5850. This could be the scenario for the next few weeks. This week will be defining on this topic as we get a ... Read More

On 21-07-2008
A steady week after a while of volatility
This week will give us some space to rethink our strategies as we get out of a serious pair of weeks of high volatility.  We got hike rates and rate cuts in our mind, as well as growth and inf... Read More

On 14-07-2008
---Rollercoaster movements expected from the load of releases this week ---
Last week we saw the EUR/USD bounce back to levels near 1.6000. This time around we’re beginning to see some ‘well known’ analysts preparing to ride the USD as the... Read More

On 07-07-2008
---USD recovers as Euro Zone outlook Darkens ---
Even as we saw Trichet signal that ECB decided to hike interest rates, the market began to move in favor of the USD. This due to the words used by Trichet signaling that this &ldquo... Read More

On 06-07-2008
USD recovers as Euro Zone outlook Darkens
Even as we saw Trichet signal that ECB decided to hike interest rates, the market began to move in favor of the USD. This due to the words used by Trichet signaling that this “could be it for... Read More

On 03-07-2008
This Monday we are seeing a renewed amount of “profit taking” from the Euro; just before a rate rise?
Euro has climbed to a 3 week high against the USD, towards 1.5835, but just for a few seconds folks… as profit taking took place shortly as the ECB CPI took over and showed us a higher incre... Read More

On 30-06-2008
This Monday we are seeing a renewed amount of “profit taking” from the Euro; just before a rate rise? This does not make sense at all
Euro has climbed to a 3 week high against the USD, towards 1.5835, but just for a few seconds folks… as profit taking took place shortly as the ECB CPI took over and showed us a higher incre... Read More

On 24-06-2008
This weekend meeting showed interest in keeping oil prices down
This weekend we had the oil ministers gathering, and they decided that pri... Read More

On 17-06-2008
Euro recovers after G8 meeting
Last week we had some hawkish comments by B.Bernanke about fighting inflation and the idea that an intervention by central banks to help the USD and indirectly push Oil prices down was possible. Ho... Read More

On 10-06-2008
Will releases support rate hike expectations?
Last week we had rollercoaster movements for EUR/USD due to Central Bankers talking about rate hikes in the near future. First we had Bernanke talking about growing concerns on inflation and the in... Read More

On 02-06-2008
Central Banks take the stage
Better than expected news for the US triggered an extinction of the USD rally, now trying to remain below 1.5500. However, this looks as if it will break this trend and take the pair higher once ag... Read More

On 25-05-2008
Releases support further rise of EUR/USD
We’re back close to 1.5800; however the market is hesitating about the possibility of seeing 1.60 again. Well this week will surely give us an idea if this is possible, with releases looking ... Read More

On 19-05-2008
---Few releases will give us the time to analyze how economies will react to their current problems ---
We now have the EUR/USD pair reaching over 1.5600 on this week’s first session. This is well higher than prices we ... Read More

On 13-05-2008
The following weeks will be key in determining if USD correction will be sustained
For the first time since December 2005 the futures markets shows a net long position for the USD. This means that traders around the world are beginning to either see the strengthening of the USD a... Read More

On 05-05-2008
Fed changes its statement, what will ECB do?
EUR/USD reached below 1.5425 during this week opening sessions. We saw the pair rally down from 1.60 to this level after the FED stated that rate cuts might just be over for th... Read More

On 29-04-2008
EUR/USD dip might not be over
USD is looking stronger as releases took the pair lower. After breaking above the 1.60 mark, we now see the pair almost 400 pips lower and looking to get below the 1.56 handle. If you listened to o... Read More

On 21-04-2008
Volatility gives us the opportunity to obtain great profits
EUR/USD is having volatile swings throughout the weeks. We’ve seen it trapped between 1.5970 and 1. 5600 for the past few weeks. However this is not a bad thing, if we manage... Read More

On 13-04-2008
The strong move on early London session show us the continuing strength of the Euro
On Sunday we saw EUR/USD begin to look as if this week will bring the USD correction. G7 seemed to helped the american currency and it began making the USD gain 150 pips against Euro and GBP, sudde... Read More

On 08-04-2008
BOE might cut rates and ECB won’t, but what will they do about high inflation and low growth stacked together?
EUR/USD has not moved accordingly to the increasing releases pointing to an imminent US recession. Jobs reports worse than expected, Bernanke speaking very dovish and American econ... Read More

On 02-04-2008
EUR/USD seems to be waiting for a stronger indication of where it’s going
EUR/USD continues to move in the 1.59-1.54 range, and it will continue to do so until something stronger happens. Euro bulls are now beginning to worry about how strong the Dollar correction could ... Read More

On 23-03-2008
After reaching 1.5900 EUR/USD breaths lower and waits for data
Last week EUR/USD reached a new all time high, no only that but it also got pretty close to 1.60. This price seems to have a very strong psychological resistance but it also represents where analys... Read More

On 09-03-2008
FOMC will meet next week, Inflation gets higher importance this week
EUR/USD continued to push higher and higher last week. We got to a record high of 1.5465, this is pretty close to the psychological level of 1.5500. Profit taking and short entries is probably what... Read More

On 04-03-2008
ECB worried about expensive EURO
EUR/USD reaching new heights, how long will this continue?We begin the week with some officials of the European Central Bank, speaking about their concerns of the high price... Read More

On 26-02-2008
A Load of Releases is Heading in our Direction
Last week we saw some releases indicate that inflation is beginning to grow throughout the world. The big difference is the current trend of the central banks. We have ECB saying they’re watc... Read More

On 19-02-2008
Will we see the pair bounce back south once again?
Last week we saw the end of the Dollar rally as Ben Bernanke gave one more statement about risk aversion and the negative outlook for the upcoming months. This was enough to reinsure the market tha... Read More

On 10-02-2008
EUR/USD ranged
EUR/USD might pay more attention to Euro Zone dataLast week we saw releases for the US economy worsen, however EUR/USD seemed to ignore everything and dived 300 pips.... Read More

On 29-01-2008
FOMC to decide on further Rate Cuts
FOMC to decide on further Rate Cuts(After last weeks 75 bps cut, What will the Fed do?)FOMC takes central stageLast we... Read More

On 23-01-2008
Will EUR/USD extend the fall
We have been talking about a stronger USD for quite a while now, and just this Friday, we had our annual meeting, where we stated USD might actually begin its strenghtening almost immediatedly&hell... Read More

On 08-01-2008
Trend setting week
ECB and BOE will announce rate decisionsOn the past few weeks we’ve seen EUR/USD move widely across our charts, this was primarily due to low volume and releases... Read More

On 23-10-2007
Increase in Volatility expected for the week - EUR/USD Briefing
Patience is one of the most important traits successful traders most have in the currency market. Last week we were talking about EUR/USD getting lower and trying to go below 1.4100 and further dow... Read More

On 16-10-2007
Euro bounces back up but seems a bit weaker
If EUR/USD breaks key supports we could see a big fall in price actionFundamentals and Technicals team up to send EUR/USD lower ... Read More

On 16-10-2007
Euro bounces back up but seems a bit weaker - EUR/USD Briefing
EUR/USD was looking for a week like this one; the pair needed both fundamental and technical analysis to point south in order to break strong supports located around 1.4040. The load of fundamental... Read More

On 09-10-2007
Expensive Euro could reflect on economic releases
After the long weekend we expect Greenback Bulls to push the pair lowerTrade Balance, Current Account and the G7 meeting might point south EUR/USD... Read More

On 25-09-2007
Market Readapting after rate hike - EUR/USD Briefing
50 basis points by the Fed is still on everybody’s mind. However we need to begin analyzing how far can the Euro extend the move, how much can the euro zone economy sustain a high priced curr... Read More

On 11-09-2007
EUR/USD is getting closer to our yearly prediction
US fundamentals continue to harm the USDLast week we saw the continuation of Euro strengthening due to the lack of confidence investors have on the US correction on their economic problems. ... Read More

On 05-09-2007
Rate decision week
As uncertainty falls behind we expect fundamentals to rule the market After a couple of weeks where the market was moving a bit erratically we begin to see some stability and as trends begin... Read More

On 20-08-2007
The Calm Before the Storm
Fundamentals will bring volatility during this calm weekLast week continued to look very volatile due to the problems with liquidity and the continuation of the effects of t... Read More

On 14-08-2007
Markets moving cautiously
Fundamentals will increase volatility during the weekThe end of last week had some wide movements in most mayors. Some of our clients began to ask us what was this problem of sup-prime mortga... Read More

On 14-08-2007
Markets moving cautiously - EUR/USD Briefing
The end of last week had some wide movements in most mayors. Some of our clients began to ask us what was this problem of sup-prime mortgage; every news channel was talking about it. So here is a q... Read More

On 07-08-2007
We’re all looking at the FOMC - EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we saw the USD loose back some of the space it had covered during the week. Non-Farm Payrolls seem to be the cause of this movement as the correction didn’t reach the expectations o... Read More

On 31-07-2007
EUR/USD finally down
We got the correction we expected. How long will it last?EUR/USD finally got some breathing space as it managed to move from above 1.3800 to levels around 1.3600. It’s time to create a ... Read More

On 24-07-2007
EUR/USD trying to break to either side
See Saw movements give us the opportunity to get in and out repetitively EUR/USD seems to be trapped around 1.3800. The Fed tried to help the Dollar with hawkish comments but... Read More

On 24-07-2007
EUR/USD trying to break to either side - EUR/USD Briefing
EUR/USD seems to be trapped around 1.3800. The Fed tried to help the Dollar with hawkish comments but the dip was re-bought, this has been the story for the past week; EUR/USD trapped between 1.378... Read More

On 09-07-2007
EUR/USD trapped in 100 pip range - EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we saw a continuation of the upward trend by EUR/USD. However this was mainly the effect of sustained good releases for Euro and negative ones for the USD. This week is a bit different as... Read More

On 03-07-2007
EUR/USD back over 1.3600 - EUR/USD Briefing
This week’s releases are looking quite positive for Euro and negative for the USD. However we need to take into account the current price levels in the pair, 1.3630 is very high and Euro bull... Read More

On 26-06-2007
EUR/USD getting ready to explode - EUR/USD Briefing
We have a week full of fundamental releases, however they appear to have a mixture of effects on the currencies and we will most likely end the week pretty close to where we started. The good thing... Read More

On 18-06-2007
EUR/USD looking to get back up - EUR/USD Briefing
We’re looking at a week that will begin to look bullish due to strong fundamentals on Eurozone and some weak for the US. However at the end of the week we expect to see the pair slow down and... Read More

On 17-06-2007
USD might get room to gasp this week
Strong Fundamentals will lead the wayEUR/USD continues reaching historical highs. We’ve seen the pair get to 1.3818 but it hasn’t been able to maintain the price action above 1.38... Read More

On 12-06-2007
EUR/USD will be moving slowly this week
Lets buy dips and take swift profitsThe beginning of the week will be pretty calm for EUR/USD. We have Greenspan appearing on Tuesday but we believe there will be no move after what he says.... Read More

On 04-06-2007
Rate announcement week
EUR/USD looking to consolidate the upward trendThis week will be very interesting due to the high expectance to see ECB hike the interest rate and BoE to keep it unchanged. However don’... Read More

On 29-05-2007
EUR/USD looking to go UP
EUR/USD could use releases to set the upward trendThe beginning of the week will be extremely quiet due to holiday Memorial Day on the US markets as well as some important ones in Europe. How... Read More

On 29-05-2007
EUR/USD looking to go UP - EUR/USD Briefing
The beginning of the week will be extremely quiet due to holiday Memorial Day on the US markets as well as some important ones in Europe. However, from then on, we will have a very interesting week... Read More

On 29-05-2007
EUR/USD looking to go UP - EUR/USD Briefing
The beginning of the week will be extremely quiet due to holiday Memorial Day on the US markets as well as some important ones in Europe. However, from then on, we will have a very interesting week... Read More

On 22-05-2007
EUR/USD getting ready to bounce back
EUR/USD won’t go much lower before a strong bounce upwardWe begin the week with EUR/USD below 1.3500. We predicted this was going to happen and we still believe there is some space for ... Read More

On 16-05-2007
EUR/USD will be quiet this week
A see saw movement gives us the opportunity to get in and out repeatedlyThis week will be pretty calm compared to the movements we saw the last few weeks. However we are expecting to see EUR/... Read More

On 24-04-2007
We could see EUR/USD bounce back below 1.3500 - EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we were talking about how high levels in EUR/USD would have an effect on the market that would lead to a bounce back below 1.3400. We talked about how after several sessions with positive... Read More

On 16-04-2007
Can EUR/USD go higher?
Fundamentals continue to rule the marketLast week we saw EUR/USD get closer every day to the historical high around 1.3660. This point; now seems to be not far at all, as EUR... Read More

On 10-04-2007
We’re getting closer to historical high
Fundamentals will be decisive on the run to 1.3600Last week was pretty calm due to Easter holidays around the globe, but remember that after holidays traders come in with a t... Read More

On 27-03-2007
Quiet last week of the month
Keep an eye open for trend setting releases“EUR/USD has been in a tight range for a while now. We expect to see this pair continue to move this way, but How long can EU... Read More

On 21-03-2007
Short range for EUR/USD - EUR/USD Briefing
EUR/USD has been in a tight range for a while now. We expect to see this pair continue to move this way, but How long can EUR/USD be contained in this tight range? We believe it will remain there f... Read More

On 13-03-2007
Strange week ahead, keep your heads down - EUR/USD Briefing
Euro has proven its strength as we saw better than expected numbers for the USD at the end of last week and the pair couldn’t get below 1.3100. Now we have a mixed week, good numbers for both... Read More

On 20-02-2007
Calm week ahead - EUR/USD Briefing
We are upon a week with an extreme lack of fundamentals. Monday is closed on both US and Asian markets due to holidays. The only thing that is keeping us awake is the upcoming rate decision by the ... Read More

On 13-02-2007
Euro looking north - EUR/USD Briefing
We begin a week that looks to be the first one of the year in which we will se the EUR/USD defining a trend and beginning to soar to the north of our graphs. Positive releases for Euro and negative... Read More

On 07-02-2007
Rate week for Euro and GBP - EUR/USD Briefing
This week we’ll have to focus our attention to the fundamental side of trading. Starting with EUR/USD, the most important event this week will be the rate decision on Thursday by the ECB. Lat... Read More

On 31-01-2007
USD is recovering strength
The US Dollar is expected to have a great week. Great data, hawkish comments by the FED on the upcoming rate decision and Treasury Yields and Stock Market rising seem to be the perfect condition fo... Read More

On 24-01-2007
The market is still waiting for JPY to catch up
Last week we saw the BoJ stating that interest rates will remain unchanged for the month. The problem was that the market saw that as a lack of independence from the actual government of Japan. Thi... Read More

On 13-12-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
We’ve seen, for a while now, how the JPY has lost territory against all mayors. This might change during the week as the BoJ meets to decide on the rate hike, creating a move by the EUR again... Read More

On 28-11-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
Last week was supposed to be pretty calm but we saw the market move widely. EUR/USD broke over the yearly high and is now trying to maintain the move over 1.3100. Data throughout the week will help... Read More

On 14-11-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
Last week was a great one indeed, we got as close to 1.2900 as we’ve been in a long time. Now its time to break this number and get over our VERY STRONG resistance located at 1.2930. To break... Read More

On 07-11-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we saw the EUR/USD fighting to maintain the gains of previous sessions. It did great until Friday when a revision of Septembers Non-Farm Payrolls and positive ones for October sent the EU... Read More

On 05-11-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we saw what seems to be the prolongation of the upward move by anti-dollar currencies. The EUR and GBP moved widely (again) against the USD making dollar-bears very happy; this might be o... Read More

On 01-11-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
Last week we finally saw the USD losing some of its strength. This came from the weak comments by the FED as well as the expected poor number reported for GDP. On the other side we saw Euro receivi... Read More

On 17-10-2006
EUR/USD Briefing
The USD has strengthened during the last few weeks due to the surprisingly improving economic releases. Now, with oil going down, consumer confidence going up, and rate hikes stable, euro has to fi... Read More

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