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Categories: Market Analysis - Fundamental - Technical - Futures - Central Banks   | 2006 - 2007 - 2008
 
On 17-11-2008
---Medium and Long term trends are being set --
Last week we saw another group of ups and downs in a wide and volatile market. Once again, an "inoperable" market we saw. We decided to step back and see the fireworks (or better ... Read More

On 03-11-2008
---Volatility continues to widen daily movements --
This week we have presidential elections on the US, Senator Barak Obama has the lead in almost every poll but there’s still hope for Re... Read More

On 27-10-2008
---USD is stronger than anybody anticipated for this year, How long/far can it still go? --
      &nbs... Read More

On 20-10-2008
Pair EUR/USD shows a sign of stability but risk aversion is still there
We have seen the market is starting to settle; maybe we are getting back to stability where we might be facing... Read More

On 20-10-2008
--- Pair EUR/USD shows a sign of stability but risk aversion is still there --
We have seen the market is starting to settle; maybe we are getting back to stability where we might be facing... Read More

On 15-10-2008
The USD has been strengthening but pumping all those USD will get back to us sometime soon
We’re looking at central banks and finance ministers getting together to fight the credit crunch. It seems to be working until now, pumping up investors to remain calm. Or at least that seems... Read More

On 07-10-2008
The USD is pounding every currency except the JPY
Markets around the world are having a very rough session today, the DOW is -5%, NASDAQ -6%, IPC -8% and BOVESPA has already been closed after reaching -14% before 10:00 AM. Regarding the currencies... Read More

On 23-09-2008
US government Coming to rescue the economy, but what about the USD?
At the end of last week, the US treasury and Central Bank announced the plan to rescue banks from their infected mortgage loans. This is focused on saving more banks from going into bankruptcy and ... Read More

On 15-09-2008
ASIAN MARKETS CLOSED MONDAY
As some analists predicted, Lehman was left alone to dry in the sun… as only 1 out of the top 3 financial institutions in USA is left standing… “will its brick wall help it get ... Read More

On 08-09-2008
Wide movements as volatility comes back to the market
As the FED intervened to help Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae from causing further bumps in the road for the housing market, the USD was expected to weaken and it did on the opening session of the week.... Read More

On 01-09-2008
ECB and BOE take center stage
The USD has been holding to its current strength as we continue to see price action below 1.4700. Market players are beginning to see 1.4500 closer than 1.5500. We believe that currencies are begin... Read More

On 24-08-2008
Fundamentals continue to be the main determinant on trend setting
EUR/USD managed to remain below 1.4800 and it now remains on the range between 1.4600-1.5100. This week we get a load of releases that will clear up the view and allow us to look beyond the current... Read More

On 20-08-2008
Fundamentals will determine the new range
Last week we saw a very strong move by the USD, followed by a confirmation that the trading range had changed, and it seemed that we are Trending (moving towards a certain point without stopping). ... Read More

On 18-08-2008
Fundamentals will determine the new range, we do not believe we will continue Trending.. we believe we will have a Range at 1.46-1.52
Last week we saw a very strong move by the USD, followed by a confirmation that the trading range had changed, and it seemed that we are Trending (moving towards a certain point without stopping). ... Read More

On 11-08-2008
Fundamentals remain unchanged
Last week we got the same deal we’ve gotten over the past few months; the US is performing bad and getting worse as time goes by. However we got a spectacular couple of days for the USD as it... Read More

On 04-08-2008
Central Bancs take the Stage
2008 has been a year where rate differentials and rate decisions have influenced strong movements in price action. These week won’t be different if we see any movement by either Central Bank.... Read More

On 27-07-2008
Releases could create a rollercoaster week
We’re back over 1.5750, and continue to be in a tight range between 1.5650 and 1.5850. This could be the scenario for the next few weeks. This week will be defining on this topic as we get a ... Read More

On 21-07-2008
A steady week after a while of volatility
This week will give us some space to rethink our strategies as we get out of a serious pair of weeks of high volatility.  We got hike rates and rate cuts in our mind, as well as growth and inf... Read More

On 14-07-2008
---Rollercoaster movements expected from the load of releases this week ---
Last week we saw the EUR/USD bounce back to levels near 1.6000. This time around we’re beginning to see some ‘well known’ analysts preparing to ride the USD as the... Read More

On 07-07-2008
---USD recovers as Euro Zone outlook Darkens ---
Even as we saw Trichet signal that ECB decided to hike interest rates, the market began to move in favor of the USD. This due to the words used by Trichet signaling that this &ldquo... Read More

On 06-07-2008
USD recovers as Euro Zone outlook Darkens
Even as we saw Trichet signal that ECB decided to hike interest rates, the market began to move in favor of the USD. This due to the words used by Trichet signaling that this “could be it for... Read More

On 03-07-2008
This Monday we are seeing a renewed amount of “profit taking” from the Euro; just before a rate rise?
Euro has climbed to a 3 week high against the USD, towards 1.5835, but just for a few seconds folks… as profit taking took place shortly as the ECB CPI took over and showed us a higher incre... Read More

On 30-06-2008
This Monday we are seeing a renewed amount of “profit taking” from the Euro; just before a rate rise? This does not make sense at all
Euro has climbed to a 3 week high against the USD, towards 1.5835, but just for a few seconds folks… as profit taking took place shortly as the ECB CPI took over and showed us a higher incre... Read More

On 24-06-2008
This weekend meeting showed interest in keeping oil prices down
This weekend we had the oil ministers gathering, and they decided that pri... Read More

On 17-06-2008
Euro recovers after G8 meeting
Last week we had some hawkish comments by B.Bernanke about fighting inflation and the idea that an intervention by central banks to help the USD and indirectly push Oil prices down was possible. Ho... Read More

On 10-06-2008
Will releases support rate hike expectations?
Last week we had rollercoaster movements for EUR/USD due to Central Bankers talking about rate hikes in the near future. First we had Bernanke talking about growing concerns on inflation and the in... Read More

On 02-06-2008
Central Banks take the stage
Better than expected news for the US triggered an extinction of the USD rally, now trying to remain below 1.5500. However, this looks as if it will break this trend and take the pair higher once ag... Read More

On 25-05-2008
Releases support further rise of EUR/USD
We’re back close to 1.5800; however the market is hesitating about the possibility of seeing 1.60 again. Well this week will surely give us an idea if this is possible, with releases looking ... Read More

On 19-05-2008
---Few releases will give us the time to analyze how economies will react to their current problems ---
We now have the EUR/USD pair reaching over 1.5600 on this week’s first session. This is well higher than prices we ... Read More

On 13-05-2008
The following weeks will be key in determining if USD correction will be sustained
For the first time since December 2005 the futures markets shows a net long position for the USD. This means that traders around the world are beginning to either see the strengthening of the USD a... Read More

On 05-05-2008
Fed changes its statement, what will ECB do?
EUR/USD reached below 1.5425 during this week opening sessions. We saw the pair rally down from 1.60 to this level after the FED stated that rate cuts might just be over for th... Read More

On 29-04-2008
EUR/USD dip might not be over
USD is looking stronger as releases took the pair lower. After breaking above the 1.60 mark, we now see the pair almost 400 pips lower and looking to get below the 1.56 handle. If you listened to o... Read More

On 21-04-2008
Volatility gives us the opportunity to obtain great profits
EUR/USD is having volatile swings throughout the weeks. We’ve seen it trapped between 1.5970 and 1. 5600 for the past few weeks. However this is not a bad thing, if we manage... Read More

On 13-04-2008
The strong move on early London session show us the continuing strength of the Euro
On Sunday we saw EUR/USD begin to look as if this week will bring the USD correction. G7 seemed to helped the american currency and it began making the USD gain 150 pips against Euro and GBP, sudde... Read More

On 08-04-2008
BOE might cut rates and ECB won’t, but what will they do about high inflation and low growth stacked together?
EUR/USD has not moved accordingly to the increasing releases pointing to an imminent US recession. Jobs reports worse than expected, Bernanke speaking very dovish and American econ... Read More

On 02-04-2008
EUR/USD seems to be waiting for a stronger indication of where it’s going
EUR/USD continues to move in the 1.59-1.54 range, and it will continue to do so until something stronger happens. Euro bulls are now beginning to worry about how strong the Dollar correction could ... Read More

On 23-03-2008
After reaching 1.5900 EUR/USD breaths lower and waits for data
Last week EUR/USD reached a new all time high, no only that but it also got pretty close to 1.60. This price seems to have a very strong psychological resistance but it also represents where analys... Read More

On 09-03-2008
FOMC will meet next week, Inflation gets higher importance this week
EUR/USD continued to push higher and higher last week. We got to a record high of 1.5465, this is pretty close to the psychological level of 1.5500. Profit taking and short entries is probably what... Read More

On 04-03-2008
ECB worried about expensive EURO
EUR/USD reaching new heights, how long will this continue?We begin the week with some officials of the European Central Bank, speaking about their concerns of the high price... Read More

On 26-02-2008
A Load of Releases is Heading in our Direction
Last week we saw some releases indicate that inflation is beginning to grow throughout the world. The big difference is the current trend of the central banks. We have ECB saying they’re watc... Read More

On 19-02-2008
Will we see the pair bounce back south once again?
Last week we saw the end of the Dollar rally as Ben Bernanke gave one more statement about risk aversion and the negative outlook for the upcoming months. This was enough to reinsure the market tha... Read More

On 10-02-2008
EUR/USD ranged
EUR/USD might pay more attention to Euro Zone dataLast week we saw releases for the US economy worsen, however EUR/USD seemed to ignore everything and dived 300 pips.... Read More

On 29-01-2008
FOMC to decide on further Rate Cuts
FOMC to decide on further Rate Cuts(After last weeks 75 bps cut, What will the Fed do?)FOMC takes central stageLast we... Read More

On 23-01-2008
Will EUR/USD extend the fall
We have been talking about a stronger USD for quite a while now, and just this Friday, we had our annual meeting, where we stated USD might actually begin its strenghtening almost immediatedly&hell... Read More

On 08-01-2008
Trend setting week
ECB and BOE will announce rate decisionsOn the past few weeks we’ve seen EUR/USD move widely across our charts, this was primarily due to low volume and releases... Read More

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