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SOFTS-Raw sugar steady, digests 1.3 mln T delivery

2009-07-01 15:56:43 GMT (Reuters)
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* Rains end in Brazil's coffee region

* Weak pound seen underpinning London cocoa futures

(Adds trade comment, updates prices)

By Sharon Lindores and David Brough

LONDON, July 1 (Reuters) - Raw sugar futures held steady on Wednesday as traders digested a delivery against the spot month expiry on Tuesday of more than 1.3 million tonnes, one of the largest to date.

Arabica coffee futures edged up on a soft dollar, while London cocoa was little changed, supported by a weak pound.

Sentiment was bullish in sugar, which hovered within sight of Tuesday's three-year peak as ICE Futures U.S. reported a huge delivery of over 1.3 million tonnes.

Trade sources said they believed the receiver, against the expiry of the ICE July

ICE October raw sugar futures slipped 0.1 cent to 17.75 cents per lb at 1512 GMT, below Tuesday's three-year peak of 18.09 cents.

London August white sugar was down $2.2 to $456.50 per tonne, having earlier touched a contract high of $465.20.

"Sentiment is still bullish, but in any bullish market there are periods when price runs ahead of physical demand," said Jonathan Kingsman, managing director of Lausanne-based consultancy Kingsman SA. "And so you may get a correction."

Rabobank soft commodity trader Nick Hungate said the delivery echoed Cargill's emergence as the main receiver of the May contract which expired on April 30.

"There was a subsequent strong rally in the market, so that is in the back of people's minds," Hungate said.

"Every time we think the market has done enough we get some more bullish fundamental news," Hungate said.

"It's a classic sign of a very robust, bull market. It's a market that doesn't let you in cheaply and a market in which flames keep on being fanned with bullish fundamental information.

"So, can it go higher? I think it can. Will it go higher? Who knows? There's no doubt we'll get a lot of volatility because trading conditions are still pretty thin," he said.

Kingsman said expectations of a global sugar deficit were driving up sugar futures prices sharply this year.

He said Brazilian mills were making as much sugar as they could, but their capacity was limited relative to demand.

Brazil's 2009/10 centre-south cane crush reached 142.1 million tonnes by June 15, nearly one third more than the 107.7 million tonnes crushed by this time last year, the Sugar Cane Industry Association (Unica) said Wednesday.

Dealers noted the delayed monsoon in India was buoying sugar prices, and referred to concern over the impact of the El Nino weather pattern on the global sugar output outlook.

Raw sugar futures have surged by over 50 percent so far this year, making sugar one of the star performers of the commodities complex, spurred by a strong appetite from South Asia.

Most of the sugar received by Cargill is believed to be destined for India, the world's top consumer which has swung to a net importer from exporter after a dismal domestic harvest.

ARABICAS LITTLE CHANGED

Arabica futures were flat in thin volumes, aided by the weak dollar and strong oil prices, while robustas edged lower weighed by light origin selling, a coffee trader said.

London's September robusta contract was down $11 at $1,324 per tonne, above last Thursday's $1,250 contract low.

September arabica futures on ICE fell 0.3 cents to $1.1960 per lb.

Rains have come to a halt in the coffee producing areas of Brazil, the world's top grower, private weather forecaster Somar said, after showers last week prevented farmers from harvesting and drying their beans.

In London cocoa, dealers said a weak pound gave support, but worries over demand prospects dragged on the market.

"Q2 grindings are not going to be good," one London trader said.

Sucden Financial said in a daily market report that cocoa values seem unable to free themselves from recent ranges.

London September cocoa was down 5 pounds to 1,600 pounds per tonne in modest volume of 2,827 lots.

ICE September cocoa was up $2 to $2,512 per tonne. (Editing by James Jukwey)

 
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