By Serena Chaudhry
JOHANNESBURG, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Advertising executive Penny
Holt loves her native South Africa but power cuts, a murky
political climate and widespread violent crime made her think
about leaving the nation she once viewed as a beacon of hope.
A robbery at her office was the last straw.
"There's a brutality, an anger that worries me," said the
32-year-old executive at Saatchi & Saatchi as she finished
packing up her house in the well-heeled northern suburbs of
Johannesburg ready to move to London, England.
Holt's decision reflects what appears to be an accelerating
trend in Africa's biggest economy. Professionals, often young
and in middle management but increasingly senior executives too,
are leaving, adding to a skills shortage that is already acute.
Even though the global financial crisis is cutting job
opportunities abroad -- prompting some South Africans to
consider moving home to take them up -- at least eight top-level
executives at listed companies have resigned this year to
emigrate.
Clothing retailer Truworths said in October its financial
director Wayne van der Merwe was relocating with his family to
Australia, while wealth and asset management group Peregrine
Holdings Ltd said in September its chief executive Keith Betty
was moving to Australia.
The chief financial officer of chemical and explosives firm
AECI emigrated after his 12-year-old daughter was shot in a
robbery. And retail giant Massmart has reported a flight of
senior management at the firm.
A property barometer by First National Bank released in
October showed 18 percent of people selling their houses in the
third quarter were doing so because they were emigrating, up
from 9 percent in the fourth quarter of last year.
South Africa's department of Home Affairs said it did not
keep a record of the number of people emigrating.
CRIME
For many, the main worry is South Africa's shockingly high
crime levels. An average of 50 people are murdered every day,
according to the 2008 government crime report, with robberies,
break-ins and hold-ups at businesses up almost 50 percent.
"In most instances I think the fundamental reason for
leaving is violent crime," said Azar Jammine, chief economist at
Econometrix.
Peter Gent, chief operating officer of Rand Merchant Bank,
said the investment firm is actively sourcing skilled labour
overseas because of an exodus of investment bankers, accountants
and information technology specialists.
"Certainly from the beginning of this year, one's seen an
increase (in emigration)," Gent said. "I think it's a real issue
for the country."
The skills exodus has hit the public sector too, and the
government has been trying to recruit experienced artisans,
particularly engineers, doctors and teachers, from abroad.
Those with the means to leave are still disproportionately
white, but Gent said people of all races were emigrating.
"The 30-40 year range is where we've seen the bulk of the
fallout, and typically it is people with specialist skills."
Analysts say power cuts in January and a wave of xenophobic
attacks in May further clouded the mood.
And many middle class South Africans and foreign investors
have been rattled by the worst political crisis since the end of
apartheid, which saw the ousting of Thabo Mbeki as president by
the ruling ANC party.
ANC leader Jacob Zuma, frontrunner to become president after
an election next year, has strong ties to the left and there are
worries he may veer away from Mbeki's pro-business policies.
A corruption case against Zuma, in which he denies
wrongdoing, has also troubled some South Africans.
"The current political situation is a concern," said
advertising executive Holt. "Zuma I feel is not a very moral,
ethical person."
GLOBAL TURMOIL
The global recession might help reverse, or at least slow
the trend, as jobs in London's City freeze up.
South Africa has been shielded from much of the turmoil, as
strict regulation has helped local banks like Standard Bank and
Absa limit exposure to toxic U.S. assets.
While the country's big four banks are likely to see slower
growth as the slowdown hits exports and batters the rand,
Standard Bank, Absa, Nedbank and FirstRand have all reported
healthy liquidity profiles.
"The grass on the other side is looking a little less green
than it was six months ago," said Guy Lundy, co-author of "South
Africa: Reasons to Believe", a book that highlights the positive
aspects of South Africa.
The Homecoming Revolution, a group which tries to persuade
South Africans living abroad to move home, says it has seen an
increase in people wanting to return this year.
Managing Director Martine Schaffer said of the 1,000 South
Africans who attended the group's exhibition in London this
month, four out of five were planning to return to South Africa.
"It's such a beautiful country and there is so much
potential, we need to come home and bring the skills that we got
here from London and make a difference," said Kathryn Hallock,
30, who is moving home after more than eight years in Britain.
RMB's Gent said the global freeze may well prompt young
South Africans to scrap or delay their emigration plans.
"The slowdown in the global economy and specifically around
investment banking will address that to some degree."
(Editing by Rebecca Harrison and Sara Ledwith)
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