* Sector to see growth returning in Q4 -- analysts
* Sector to return to normalized growth in H2 2010
* Diversified players best placed to benefit from revival
By Esha Dey
BANGALORE, Nov 13 (Reuters) - The aesthetic laser device
industry, which had lost its glow to the credit squeeze and low
consumer confidence, could resume growth as early as the fourth
quarter and get a full facelift late next year.
These capital equipment makers, who had seen aggressive
growth and comfortable margins before the economic slowdown,
were hit hard when tight credit left few physicians willing to
buy big-ticket items without sufficient patient volumes.
However, analysts said the market may have touched bottom
and, coupled with signs of stabilization seen in the recently
reported third-quarter results, now see modest growth returning
to the sector in the fourth quarter and demand reaching
pre-recession levels in the second half of 2010.
"It is going to be a rather modest growth, but they should
return to 5 percent to 10 percent growth in the fourth
quarter," Oppenheimer and Co analyst Amit Hazan said.
The sector, whose main public players include Cynosure Inc
, Palomar Medical Technologies Inc, Solta Medical Inc, Syneron
Medical Ltd, Cutera Inc and Candela Corp, offers services
ranging from hair, wrinkle and tattoo removal to minimally
invasive liposuction and body sculpting.
But the key question for investors is: Which one of these
would be the best bet in the laser aesthetic space?
"I think the companies that will end as winners are going
to be the companies that are more diversified, that offer the
biggest product portfolio," Leerink Swann's Gary Nachman said.
"They can bundle and be more of a one-stop shop for
physicians and offer a much attractive discount across the
portfolio."
BEST BETS
Palomar, Syneron and Cynosure are widely viewed by analysts
as best placed to take advantage of the market revival when it
comes.
"The main reason I suggest Palomar is that they are
collecting a royalty stream from 10 other players in the space
who are using their hair removal technology," Canaccord Adams
analyst Anup Mehta said.
"So if the industry comes back, they can just sit back and
collect their check," Mehta added.
Palomar, which has numerous patents in hair removal
technology, currently collects royalties from a number of
rivals including Cutera and Cynosure. It also has ongoing
patent infringement lawsuits with Syneron and Candela.
Palomar's laser and pulsed-light devices are used in
treatments like permanent hair reduction, skin tightening,
removal of acne, lesions and tattoos, and lipolysis -- a
non-invasive or minimally invasive alternative to liposuction.
The company also has over-the-counter U.S. approval for its
light-based device to treat wrinkles around the eyes, and plans
to launch the device by the end of 2010 -- potentially making
it one of the first to enter the home-use laser device space.
Rival Cynosure, which has a minimally invasive laser
lipolysis device called Smartlipo and is considered a
bellwether for the sector, is trying to tide itself over the
tough times by working with partners like Bank of America to
facilitate availability of finance for clients.
Syneron -- expected to become one of the largest public
players in the sector after completing its takeover of Candela
-- is going the consolidation way, with at least three small
deals inked over the past 12 months in the laser aesthetics
space.
While reporting their third-quarter results, all the three
companies cited difficulties faced by physicians in obtaining
credit as the main reason for stunted growth, but added that
demand for procedures and devices was gradually improving.
BACK TO BASICS
When the economy was booming and people were willing to
spend thousands of dollars to polish their looks, many
aesthetic laser device makers aggressively expanded into
non-core markets that included general physicians and health
spas.
These non-core sections were the ones that were dealt the
greatest blow when credit dried up and patient volumes dropped.
The core group of dermatologists and plastic surgeons, however,
were slow to see a fall in demand.
"It is important to go back to the core physician base, to
the dermatologists, the plastic surgeons and having very good
relationships with that group because they are the ones who are
going to recover faster in terms of having a procedure volume
to justify making the investment," Leerink's Nachman said.
Maintaining the competitive edge in a fast-changing market
that sees new technologies coming in every year means
innovating constantly to come up with a product that offers
something different or more than others.
"With lasers, the shelf life of the new product is about 12
months to 18 months, before something else comes up that is
even cooler, and the doctors want the cool things because their
patients want them more," Canaccord's Mehta said.
(Reporting by Esha Dey in Bangalore; Editing by Aradhana
Aravindan)