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19.10.2011 Daily Technical Report Silver

By   |  Commodities Technical Analysis  |  Oct 19, 2011 01:41PM GMT  |  Add a Comment
 
Key support at $26.0700.

Silver’s latest price capitulation is a painful reminder to the investment community that lightning can strike twice. Note, this marks the second time silver has crashed, following its 30% fall from April this year.

The move was triggered following a DeMark™ exhaustion sell signal and has now wiped out almost 50% of silver’s prior gains (taken from Silver’s all-time high at 49.7900) which was last seen in 1980.

Such a dramatic move traditionally produces volatile trading ranges. This allows the market to have enough time to recover and accumulate renewed buying interest.

Expect a large trading range to hold between $37.0000-26.0700 over the multi-week/month horizon, with downside macro risk into $21.5165 (61.8% Fib-1999 bull market) and $20.0000. This would still maintain silver’s long-term uptrend and help offer a potential buying opportunity for the eventual resumption higher.

Continue to watch the gold-silver “mint” ratio which has now accelerated higher by 67%, suggesting further risk aversion over the next few weeks.

Please see the attached chart below.

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