USD/JPY

After stopping on Monday, at Fibonacci resistance 90.68 down to the pip, Dollar-Yen stopped yesterday at the moving average SMA100, with the same kind of accuracy. And as you know, stopping near Fibonacci resistance levels (and moving averages as well) is an evidence that the trend in down. That’s why we find ourselves favoring a continuation of the short-term downtrend as long as we are below 90.68. And we will await a break of short-term Fibonacci support 90.21. If we break this support the downtrend will resume, and will target 89.61 first, then 89.07 and may be the important 88.64. The price behavior for the past two days, and the amazingly accurate reversal at the Fibonacci resistance (90.68), makes it the most important resistance, and to add to that, the upper limit of the short-term downtrend (the trendline drawn on the chart), is currently at the same level.  And only if it is broken, we will change our negative outlook for this pair. If this surprise happens, we will expect price to reach 91.28 then the important resistance 91.63.

Support:
• 90.21: Fibonacci 61.8% for short-term.
• 89.61: previous support & Oct 12th low.
• 89.07: previous intraday support.

Resistance:
• 90.68: Fibonacci 61.8% for the short-term, and the falling line of the downtrend, important resistance.
• 91.28: previous intraday important top.
• 91.63: a well known support area that contained a number of daily tops and bottoms, the last of which was Oct 29th high.