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Overseas FX: EUR Slightly Up

Published 04/04/2013, 10:56 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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EUR/USD

The pair squeezed higher following the conclusion of the press conference from Draghi and completely pared the initial sell-off to settle in minor positive territory. Apart from touted short-squeeze, as well as scaling back of option volatility plays following the conclusion of the risk event, the pair is being supported by comments from Draghi, who noted that commitment to Euro is largely underestimated. Still, the Euribor curve flattened after ECB's Draghi said that monetary policy stance will remain accommodative for as long as needed and noted that while that economic activity has extended into the early part of the year, a gradual recovery is projected for the second half of this year, albeit with downside risks.

GBP/USD
The pair recovered off lows after the BoE voted the keep both interest rate and the Asset Purchase Facility (APF) unchanged, however the underlying trend remains bearish and there is a risk of another leg lower in the near future should the macroeconomic data fail to improve. Technical support levels are seen at 1.50227, the March 20-low and then 1.4832, the March-12 low.

USD/JPY
The pair traded sharply higher on Thursday after the BoJ introduced the so-called quantitative qualitative easing, pledged to buy JPY 7trl of bonds per month. 40-year JGBs are now eligible for bond purchases and the BoJ are to double the holdings of JGBs and ETFs in two years, with the aim of increasing the monetary base at an annual pace of JPY 60-70trl. Technically, there is a major resistance level at 96.715, March high.

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